{"id":10278,"date":"2024-10-08T11:13:16","date_gmt":"2024-10-08T11:13:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/?page_id=10278"},"modified":"2024-10-08T11:19:26","modified_gmt":"2024-10-08T11:19:26","slug":"i-gusti-lanang-putra","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/index.php\/i-gusti-lanang-putra\/","title":{"rendered":"I Gusti Lanang Putra"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-page\" data-elementor-id=\"10278\" class=\"elementor elementor-10278\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7c9df51 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7c9df51\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-2f05565\" data-id=\"2f05565\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-92b67af elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"92b67af\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-30b0a02\" data-id=\"30b0a02\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-8609c24 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"8609c24\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.18.0 - 20-12-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-stacked .elementor-drop-cap{background-color:#69727d;color:#fff}.elementor-widget-text-editor.elementor-drop-cap-view-framed .elementor-drop-cap{color:#69727d;border:3px solid;background-color:transparent}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap{margin-top:8px}.elementor-widget-text-editor:not(.elementor-drop-cap-view-default) .elementor-drop-cap-letter{width:1em;height:1em}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap{float:left;text-align:center;line-height:1;font-size:50px}.elementor-widget-text-editor .elementor-drop-cap-letter{display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t<h5><strong>TITLE:\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/h5><p><a href=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/\"><strong>IMPLEMENTATION OF THE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD IN FORECASTING SYSTEMS FOR THE TOTAL PRODUCTION AND SALES OF TIMBA COR TC PLANNING<\/strong><\/a><\/p><p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>AUTHORS:\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>I Gusti Lanang Putra Eka Prismana<\/strong><strong>, Ginanjar Setyo Permadi, Tanhella Zein Vitadiar<\/strong><\/p><p><strong>DOI<\/strong>: <a href=\"https:\/\/zenodo.org\/records\/13903054\">10.5281\/zenodo.13903054<\/a><\/p><p><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u00a0<\/span><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Page:\u00a0 \u00a005-22<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/span><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\u00a0Vol:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"> 19\u00a0 \u00a0 <\/span><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Issue:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"> 10\u00a0 <\/span><strong style=\"font-size: 16px;\">Year:<\/strong><span style=\"font-size: 16px;\"> 2024<\/span><\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-3235\" src=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334-300x300.png\" alt=\"creative commons, cc, character-785334.jpg\" width=\"26\" height=\"26\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334-300x300.png 300w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334-1022x1024.png 1022w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334-150x150.png 150w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334-768x769.png 768w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/10\/creative-commons-cc-character-785334.png 1278w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 26px) 100vw, 26px\" \/>\u00a0 \u00a0<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-1242\" src=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/kjk-e1687889230616-300x14.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"14\" srcset=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/kjk-e1687889230616-300x14.png 300w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/kjk-e1687889230616-768x36.png 768w, https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/kjk-e1687889230616.png 900w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p><p><strong>ABSTRACT<\/strong><\/p><p>Production planning is a problem at CV. Pandu Kencana Jombang, where the production quantity of Timba Cor TC is not planned ahead of the production process but is instead determined statically or based on warehouse stock without considering sales dynamics. The author proposes a solution by implementing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method. This well-known adaptive method is used for time series modeling and involves three levels of smoothing: overall, trend, and seasonal smoothing. Before forecasting the production and sales of TC Cor Lead for Week 1 of April 2022, an alpha value with the smallest error percentage is required. To find this, data from August 2021 to March 2022 is used for forecasting, applying alpha values from 0.1 to 0.9, and calculating the MAPE (mean absolute percentage error) for each. Once the alpha with the smallest MAPE is found, it is used to predict Week 1 of April 2022. The study results show that the Triple Exponential Smoothing method successfully predicted the production and sales with 97.7% accuracy and a 6.3% MAPE for production, and 93.7% accuracy with a 6.3% MAPE for sales.<\/p><p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><strong>Keywords:<\/strong><\/p><p>forecasting, planning, triple exponential smoothing<\/p><p><a href=\"#\"><strong>Received<\/strong>:<\/a> 07\u00a0September 2024<\/p><p><a href=\"#\"><strong>Accepted:<\/strong><\/a> 30\u00a0September 2024<\/p><p><a href=\"#\"> <strong>Published:<\/strong><\/a> 09 October 2024<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-78d2b59 elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"78d2b59\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-md\" href=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/I-Gusti-Lanang362.pdf\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-icon elementor-align-icon-left\">\n\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-file-pdf\"><\/i>\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">PDF<\/span>\n\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-7b9820b elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"7b9820b\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-bd75d88\" data-id=\"bd75d88\" data-element_type=\"column\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-20ea5f6 elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"20ea5f6\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t<style>\/*! elementor - v3.18.0 - 20-12-2023 *\/\n.elementor-widget-image{text-align:center}.elementor-widget-image a{display:inline-block}.elementor-widget-image a img[src$=\".svg\"]{width:48px}.elementor-widget-image img{vertical-align:middle;display:inline-block}<\/style>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\" width=\"150\" height=\"150\" src=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/ddds-e1688811920951-150x150.jpg\" class=\"attachment-thumbnail size-thumbnail wp-image-2318\" alt=\"\" \/>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>TITLE:\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 IMPLEMENTATION OF THE TRIPLE EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING METHOD IN FORECASTING SYSTEMS FOR THE TOTAL PRODUCTION AND SALES OF TIMBA COR TC PLANNING \u00a0AUTHORS:\u00a0 \u00a0 \u00a0 I Gusti Lanang Putra Eka Prismana, Ginanjar Setyo Permadi, Tanhella Zein Vitadiar DOI: 10.5281\/zenodo.13903054 \u00a0Page:\u00a0 \u00a005-22\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Vol: 19\u00a0 \u00a0 Issue: 10\u00a0 Year: 2024 \u00a0 &hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"read-more\"> <a class=\"\" href=\"https:\/\/seybold-report.com\/index.php\/i-gusti-lanang-putra\/\"> <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">I Gusti Lanang Putra<\/span> Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"no-sidebar","site-content-layout":"page-builder","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"disabled","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"disabled","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-10278","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v21.7 - 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